Video Dispatch: China’s Demographic Decline
Bit by bit we are getting back to normal. Over half of the American adult population is now vaccinated, and vaccines will soon be available in most locations on a walk-in basis. At current rates, [...]
The End of the Last, Best Chance
Last week the American ambassador to China, Terry Branstad, attempted to publish an op-ed with his assessment of American-Chinese relations. The Chinese Communist Part summarily squashed it, [...]
A Failure of Leadership, Part III: The Beginning of the End of China
Read Part 1 and Part 2 The Chinese are intentionally torching their diplomatic relationships with the wider world. The question is why? The short version is that China’s spasming belligerency is [...]
A Failure of Leadership, Part II: How To Lose Friends and Mobilize People Against You
Read Part 1 and Part 3 The propaganda out of China of late has been…notable. Beijing has accused the French of using their nursing homes as death camps, has blamed Italy for being the source of [...]
A Failure of Leadership, Part I: A Look Around the World
Read Part 2 and Part 3 The past few weeks have been…eventful. I make my living anticipating and explaining and projecting change, with an unfortunate emphasis on destabilizing and disintegrative [...]
Coronavirus
Four things have popped up in the past 48 hours that are worth a look. First, we now have enough preliminary data to say some general things about the virus and the news is good: the virus is [...]
Gasoline on the Trade War Fire
Something happened yesterday with the Trump transition that worried me. By “worry” I mean it is great for me personally, but as I’m a bit of a purveyor of doom and gloom, [...]
At the Edge of Disorder
Last week, U.S. President-elect Donald Trump shook the global diplomatic community to its bedrock by throwing the One China policy into doubt, specifically noting, “I don’t know why [...]